Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 21:00
Prediction: Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Alexandre Muller · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Muller
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Muller
2-8 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Muller 1436 · Coleman Wong 1547
| Alexandre Muller | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1436 vs 1547).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexandre Muller | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-13.7 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 29/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 16/05 | Edas Butvilas ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Coleman Wong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Darwin Blanch ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 69% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.