Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 21:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1498 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1434
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (rating 1498 vs 1434).
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.6 | 12.7-14.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/04 | Mees Rottgering M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Alex Hernandez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Marco Cecchinato Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 56% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.