Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Stefano Napolitano vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: Stefano Napolitano
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Napolitano
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Napolitano
6-4 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefano Napolitano
0–1
Ugo Blanchet
(1 last)
- 19 Apr1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Napolitano 1495 · Ugo Blanchet 1435
| Stefano Napolitano | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefano Napolitano (rating 1495 vs 1435).
- Stefano Napolitano is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stefano Napolitano 0–1 Ugo Blanchet (1).
Statistics
| Stefano Napolitano | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11 | 11.3-13.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 12.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Stefano Napolitano 0 – 1 Ugo Blanchet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefano Napolitano 0–1 Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/24 Challenger Oeiras | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Napolitano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Henri Squire Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Cristian Garin ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/04 | Marko Topo ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Napolitano vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 52% to Stefano Napolitano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.