Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 18:30
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs James Watt
Team pages: Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
James Watt
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
James Watt
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1513 · James Watt 1484
| Tristan Boyer | James Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 43.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | James Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.4 | 10.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
James Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Evans Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/05 | Andres Martin Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Andrej Nedic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/02 | Mirza Basic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs James Watt?
Our model gives 68% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.