Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 20:30
Prediction: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Stefanos Sakellaridis · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Karl Poling
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Sakellaridis
4-6 (W-L)
Karl Poling
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1534 · Karl Poling 1529
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 14.2-13 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Fancutt M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 63% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.