Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Keegan Smith
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
7-3 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1525 · Keegan Smith 1556
| Soonwoo Kwon | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-12.5 | 12.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 60% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.