Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 18:30
Prediction: Maxime St-Hilaire vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Maxime St-Hilaire · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime St-Hilaire
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime St-Hilaire
6-4 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime St-Hilaire 1500 · Taro Daniel 1593
| Maxime St-Hilaire | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1500 vs 1593).
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maxime St-Hilaire | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 12.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 43% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime St-Hilaire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlos Guerrero Alvarez M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Karl Poling M25 Laval |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 09/07 | Alexandre Bergeron M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Jacob Rouleau-Mailly M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Lucas Nunez M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 28/04 | Ryan Cozad M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 10/03 | Justin Roberts M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/01 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime St-Hilaire vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 78% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.