Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Rozin

Team pages: Dusan Lajovic · Alexander Rozin

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Dusan Lajovic Alexander Rozin
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Lajovic 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLL
Alexander Rozin 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dusan Lajovic 1527 · Alexander Rozin 1528
Dusan LajovicAlexander Rozin
Our model50%50%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Dusan LajovicAlexander Rozin
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.61.4-0.9
Games (G-P)14.7-15.611.9-10.6
Aces5.34.8
Double faults3.12.2
1st serve %72%72%
Break %36.9%38.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dusan Lajovic

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
11/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
08/08 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
07/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
05/08 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
04/08 James McCabe
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
30/06 Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 10-18 L
25/06 Vilius Gaubas
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 23-24 L
24/06 Chris Rodesch
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-6 W

Alexander Rozin

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Anton Shepp
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
14/07 Keegan Rice
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
13/07 Kokoro Isomura
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
12/07 Renta Tokuda
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Karl Poling
M25 Laval
1-2 10-16 L
28/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
27/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Vignesh Gogineni
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Benjamin O'Connell
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Emon Van Loben Sels
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Rozin?

Our model gives 66% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.