Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 00:30
Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Laslo Djere
Team pages: Samuel Heredia · Laslo Djere
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Heredia
Laslo Djere
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Heredia
6-4 (W-L)
Laslo Djere
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Heredia 1478 · Laslo Djere 1532
| Samuel Heredia | Laslo Djere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laslo Djere (rating 1478 vs 1532).
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Laslo Djere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.2 | 12.7-11 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Laslo Djere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Hugo Dellien ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Niklas Waldner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Max Houkes Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Laslo Djere?
Our model gives 74% to Laslo Djere, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.