Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 02:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1587 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1510
| Lloyd Harris | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1587 vs 1510).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 49.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.1 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Bolt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Billy Harris ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 66% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.