Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 20/08, 01:00
Prediction: Haruto Ishikawa vs Sam Wensley
Team pages: Haruto Ishikawa · Sam Wensley
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruto Ishikawa
Sam Wensley
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Haruto Ishikawa
3-7 (W-L)
Sam Wensley
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Haruto Ishikawa
1–0
Sam Wensley
(1 last)
- 17 Aug2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruto Ishikawa 1522 · Sam Wensley 1501
| Haruto Ishikawa | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Haruto Ishikawa 1–0 Sam Wensley (1).
- Note: Sam Wensley makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Haruto Ishikawa | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-9.7 | 8.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Haruto Ishikawa 1 – 0 Sam Wensley (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haruto Ishikawa 1–0 Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/25 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruto Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Kangyuan Shi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 17/04 | Michael Smith UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Harry Collins UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/04 | Jack Clements UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sam Wensley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Charlie Pade M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruto Ishikawa vs Sam Wensley?
Our model gives 52% to Sam Wensley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.