Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 19/08, 01:00
Prediction: Charlie Pade vs Sam Wensley
Team pages: Charlie Pade · Sam Wensley
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlie Pade
Sam Wensley
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Charlie Pade
4-6 (W-L)
Sam Wensley
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Charlie Pade
2–1
Sam Wensley
(3 last)
- 28 Jul1-2 10-9L
- 29 Jul2-1 19-16W
- 30 May2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlie Pade 1485 · Sam Wensley 1486
| Charlie Pade | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Charlie Pade 2–1 Sam Wensley (3).
- Note: Sam Wensley makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Charlie Pade | Sam Wensley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.2 | 8.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Charlie Pade 2 – 1 Sam Wensley (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlie Pade 2–1 Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 M15 Brisbane | 1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 29/07/25 UTR Pro Lovedale | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 30/05/25 UTR Pro Lovedale | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlie Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Harrison Satara M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Sam Wensley M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 21/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Vitorio Sardinha UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Sam Wensley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Charlie Pade M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Emmanuel Valsamis UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlie Pade vs Sam Wensley?
Our model gives 57% to Charlie Pade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.