Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 17/08, 23:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1521 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1516
| Felix Balshaw | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.2 | 12.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 23.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Peter Makk Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francisco Comesana Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 53% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.