Tennis · M25 Santander · 17/08, 13:00
Prediction: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Jordi Garcia Mestre
Team pages: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento · Jordi Garcia Mestre
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Jordi Garcia Mestre
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
5-5 (W-L)
Jordi Garcia Mestre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1506 · Jordi Garcia Mestre 1510
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Jordi Garcia Mestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Jordi Garcia Mestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.9 | 8.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Jordi Garcia Mestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Adam Martin Espinar M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Antonio Prat M25 Denia |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Stepan Baum M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Jon Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Jordi Garcia Mestre?
Our model gives 53% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.