Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 17/08, 13:30
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Ali Habib
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Ali Habib
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Ali Habib
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Ali Habib
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1534 · Ali Habib 1493
| Alec Deckers | Ali Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1534 vs 1493).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Ali Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.7 | 9.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Samim Filiz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Ali Habib
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Samuel Battistone Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Marcus Walters M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 09/06 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Ali Habib?
Our model gives 68% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.