Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Johannus Monday vs Lui Maxted
Team pages: Johannus Monday · Lui Maxted
Prediction summary
Winner
Johannus Monday
Lui Maxted
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Johannus Monday
5-5 (W-L)
Lui Maxted
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Johannus Monday
2–0
Lui Maxted
(2 last)
- 05 Jan2-1 17-16W
- 18 Jul2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johannus Monday 1507 · Lui Maxted 1594
| Johannus Monday | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1507 vs 1594).
- Johannus Monday dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Johannus Monday 2–0 Lui Maxted (2).
Statistics
| Johannus Monday | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.5 | 13.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Johannus Monday 2 – 0 Lui Maxted (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johannus Monday 2–0 Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 Challenger Nottingham | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/07/24 ITF M25 East Lansing | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johannus Monday
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | William Nolan M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Lui Maxted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johannus Monday vs Lui Maxted?
Our model gives 56% to Johannus Monday, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.