Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 27/08, 12:00
Prediction: Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai
Team pages: Johannus Monday · Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Johannus Monday
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Johannus Monday
5-5 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johannus Monday 1518 · Michele Ribecai 1536
| Johannus Monday | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Johannus Monday dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Johannus Monday | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.8 | 12.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johannus Monday
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | William Nolan M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hugo Dellien ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johannus Monday vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 53% to Johannus Monday, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.