Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Oliver Tarvet vs Oliver Bonding
Team pages: Oliver Tarvet · Oliver Bonding
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Tarvet
Oliver Bonding
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Tarvet
9-1 (W-L)
Oliver Bonding
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Tarvet 1641 · Oliver Bonding 1520
| Oliver Tarvet | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1641 vs 1520).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Oliver Tarvet is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oliver Tarvet | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.6 | 11.7-11 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 66% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Anton Matusevich M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Alex Rybakov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Oliver Bonding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Satterfield M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Tarvet vs Oliver Bonding?
Our model gives 77% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.