Tennis · W35 Verbier · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Diana Marcinkevica
Team pages: Ekaterina Yashina · Diana Marcinkevica
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Yashina
Diana Marcinkevica
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina
5-5 (W-L)
Diana Marcinkevica
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Yashina
2–1
Diana Marcinkevica
(3 last)
- 20 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 21 Dec2-0 13-8W
- 07 Dec2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1480 · Diana Marcinkevica 1520
| Ekaterina Yashina | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Marcinkevica (rating 1480 vs 1520).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Yashina 2–1 Diana Marcinkevica (3).
- Note: Diana Marcinkevica makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Yashina | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 11.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 66.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Ekaterina Yashina 2 – 1 Diana Marcinkevica (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Yashina 2–1 Diana Marcinkevica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 ITF W100 Figueira Da Foz | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/12/20 Eastern European Championship Women | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/12/20 Eastern European Championship Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Yashina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlota Corte W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Lina Glushko WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Diana Marcinkevica
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Pippa Bosman UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Emma Scaldalai UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Natalia Siedliska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Chloe Lomans UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Nika Beukers UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Rebeka Kern W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Mariia Pryshchepa UTR Pro Dusseldorf Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Stella Beldiman UTR Pro Dusseldorf Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Diana Marcinkevica?
Our model gives 55% to Ekaterina Yashina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.