Tennis · W35 Verbier · 27/08, 16:00
Prediction: Urszula Radwanska vs Julia Stusek
Team pages: Urszula Radwanska · Julia Stusek
Prediction summary
Winner
Urszula Radwanska
Julia Stusek
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Urszula Radwanska
4-6 (W-L)
Julia Stusek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urszula Radwanska 1485 · Julia Stusek 1527
| Urszula Radwanska | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Stusek (rating 1485 vs 1527).
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Urszula Radwanska | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Aliona Falei WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Freya Peet W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Paula Cembranos W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urszula Radwanska vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 69% to Julia Stusek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.