Tennis · W35 Verbier · 28/08, 11:30
Prediction: Emma Lene vs Julia Stusek
Team pages: Emma Lene · Julia Stusek
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Lene
Julia Stusek
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Lene
8-2 (W-L)
Julia Stusek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Lene 1641 · Julia Stusek 1521
| Emma Lene | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1641 vs 1521).
- Emma Lene is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Emma Lene | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-5.4 | 11.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Lene
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sarina Schnyder W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Astrid Cirotte W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Francesca Curmi W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Laura Mair W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Liv Boulard W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Urszula Radwanska W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Paula Cembranos W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Lene vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 62% to Emma Lene, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.