Tennis · W35 Verbier · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Mara Guth
Team pages: Valentina Ryser · Mara Guth
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ryser
Mara Guth
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ryser
8-2 (W-L)
Mara Guth
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentina Ryser
0–1
Mara Guth
(1 last)
- 14 Oct0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1555 · Mara Guth 1548
| Valentina Ryser | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Valentina Ryser 0–1 Mara Guth (1).
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.9 | 12.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 48% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Valentina Ryser 0 – 1 Mara Guth (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Ryser 0–1 Mara Guth
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/25 W35 Birmingham | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Liv Boulard W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Iva Ivankovic W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vendula Valdmannova W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Micol Salvadori W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Martyna Kubka W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mara Guth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Margaux Komano W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Merel Hoedt W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Mara Guth?
Our model gives 50% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.