Tennis · M25 Taipei · 17/08, 03:30
Prediction: Noritaka Koizumi vs Ryota Tanuma
Team pages: Noritaka Koizumi · Ryota Tanuma
Prediction summary
Winner
Noritaka Koizumi
Ryota Tanuma
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Noritaka Koizumi
5-5 (W-L)
Ryota Tanuma
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noritaka Koizumi
0–3
Ryota Tanuma
(3 last)
- 08 Jul0-2 9-13L
- 03 Jul0-2 5-12L
- 16 Sept1-2 13-22L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noritaka Koizumi 1512 · Ryota Tanuma 1617
| Noritaka Koizumi | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1512 vs 1617).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Noritaka Koizumi 0–3 Ryota Tanuma (3).
Statistics
| Noritaka Koizumi | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.2 | 11.2-6.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Noritaka Koizumi 0 – 3 Ryota Tanuma (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noritaka Koizumi 0–3 Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/25 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07/25 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09/24 ITF M25 Takasaki | 1-2 | 13-22 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Ryosuke Inagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noritaka Koizumi vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 76% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.