Tennis · M25 Taipei · 17/08, 03:30
Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Ren Nakamura
Team pages: Ryuki Matsuda · Ren Nakamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Ren Nakamura
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1519 · Ren Nakamura 1466
| Ryuki Matsuda | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1519 vs 1466).
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11 | 8.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Bali |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Rafalentino Ali Da Costa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali Qual |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 74% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.