Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax
Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Glinka
Florent Bax
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka
7-3 (W-L)
Florent Bax
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniil Glinka
1–0
Florent Bax
(1 last)
- 11 Feb2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1520 · Florent Bax 1519
| Daniil Glinka | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniil Glinka 1–0 Florent Bax (1).
- Note: Daniil Glinka makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13 | 14-11.7 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Daniil Glinka 1 – 0 Florent Bax (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniil Glinka 1–0 Florent Bax
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/25 M25 Roehampton | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 22/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Florent Bax
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Arthur Weber Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dan Added Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 53% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.