Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel
Team pages: Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Luis Guto Miguel
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
1-9 (W-L)
Luis Guto Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1499 · Luis Guto Miguel 1531
| Valentin Royer | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Luis Guto Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13 | 11-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
Luis Guto Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/04 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Franco Ribero Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel?
Our model gives 67% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.