Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 16:00
Prediction: Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Benjamin Willwerth · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Willwerth
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Willwerth
6-4 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Willwerth 1525 · Gonzalo Bueno 1544
| Benjamin Willwerth | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Benjamin Willwerth | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 10.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Izyan Ahmad M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tiago Pereira ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Francisco Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 66% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.