Tennis · Challenger Todi · 16/08, 20:30
Prediction: Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim Mrva
Team pages: Nicolas Kicker · Maxim Mrva
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Kicker
Maxim Mrva
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Kicker
7-3 (W-L)
Maxim Mrva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Kicker
0–1
Maxim Mrva
(1 last)
- 03 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Kicker 1561 · Maxim Mrva 1582
| Nicolas Kicker | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Kicker 0–1 Maxim Mrva (1).
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Kicker | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Nicolas Kicker 0 – 1 Maxim Mrva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Kicker 0–1 Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Challenger Hagen | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Kicker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Yannik Weissmann Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim Mrva?
Our model gives 57% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.