Tennis · Challenger Todi · 13/08, 15:00
Prediction: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Oriol Roca Batalla · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Oriol Roca Batalla
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Oriol Roca Batalla
6-4 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oriol Roca Batalla
1–2
Francesco Passaro
(3 last)
- 23 Jun0-2 10-13L
- 16 Jun2-0 12-4W
- 18 Jun0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriol Roca Batalla 1510 · Francesco Passaro 1465
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriol Roca Batalla (rating 1510 vs 1465).
- Head-to-head: Oriol Roca Batalla 1–2 Francesco Passaro (3).
Statistics
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.2 | 12.1-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Oriol Roca Batalla 1 – 2 Francesco Passaro (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriol Roca Batalla 1–2 Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Challenger Targu Mures | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06/26 Challenger Parma | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06/25 Challenger Sassuolo | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriol Roca Batalla
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Niklas Guttau M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Samuele Seghetti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 54% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.