Tennis · Challenger Todi · 13/08, 15:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
5-5 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Michalski
1–0
Lukas Neumayer
(1 last)
- 05 May2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1496 · Lukas Neumayer 1475
| Daniel Michalski | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daniel Michalski 1–0 Lukas Neumayer (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.9 | 10.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Daniel Michalski 1 – 0 Lukas Neumayer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Michalski 1–0 Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Wojciech Marek M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Mili Poljicak ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 61% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.