Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 16/08, 14:30

Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannon

Team pages: Alec Deckers · Conor Gannon

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Alec Deckers Conor Gannon
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Conor Gannon 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1532 · Conor Gannon 1537
Alec DeckersConor Gannon
Our model49%51%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 44.1% break avg.

Statistics

Alec DeckersConor Gannon
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.2-1
Games (G-P)12.8-10.811.8-11.8
Aces8.18.4
Double faults3.43
1st serve %77.1%76.1%
Break %44.1%26.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alec Deckers

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
10/08 Egor Agafonov
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
09/08 Danial Rakhmatullayev
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/08 Kerem Yilmaz
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
02/08 Samim Filiz
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/07 Charlie Robertson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
09/07 Andreas Timini
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-8 W
08/07 Udit Kamboj
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
02/07 Kriish Tyagi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Conor Gannon

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Anton Matusevich
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/08 Markus Molder
M15 Dublin
2-1 19-17 W
01/08 Daniel De Jonge
M15 Dublin
2-0 13-10 W
31/07 Matt Ponchet
M15 Dublin
2-0 13-7 W
30/07 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Dublin
2-0 13-8 W
29/07 Lorenzo Lorusso
M15 Dublin
2-1 19-16 W
22/07 Clement Lemire
M15 Rognac
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Alex Knaff
M15 Rognac
2-0 14-11 W
05/07 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Grigor Dimitrov
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannon?

Our model gives 55% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.