Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Jay Friend vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Jay Friend · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Friend
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend
5-5 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1544 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1538
| Jay Friend | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Jay Friend | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.2 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 51% |
| Break % | 25.9% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 54% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.