Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Anton Matusevich vs Michele Ribecai
Team pages: Anton Matusevich · Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Matusevich
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Matusevich
8-2 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Matusevich 1580 · Michele Ribecai 1512
| Anton Matusevich | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1580 vs 1512).
- Anton Matusevich is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Anton Matusevich | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.4 | 11.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Conor Gannon M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hugo Dellien ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Matusevich vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 59% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.