Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
4-6 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alafia Ayeni
1–0
Zach Stephens
(1 last)
- 15 Jan2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1447 · Zach Stephens 1413
| Alafia Ayeni | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alafia Ayeni 1–0 Zach Stephens (1).
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (8.2/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-13.1 | 6.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 8.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 57% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Alafia Ayeni 1 – 0 Zach Stephens (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alafia Ayeni 1–0 Zach Stephens
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/25 UTR Pro Newport Beach | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ethan Cook Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Zach Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Max Benaim M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Michael Agwi M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alexandre Reco M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Clement Lemire M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 73% to Alafia Ayeni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.