Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 16/08, 10:30
Prediction: Dan Added vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Dan Added · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Philip Henning
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
8-2 (W-L)
Philip Henning
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1500 · Philip Henning 1547
| Dan Added | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Henning (rating 1500 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 10.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 28.2% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 65% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.