Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 15/08, 10:30
Prediction: Dan Added vs Goncalo Marques
Team pages: Dan Added · Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
8-2 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1503 · Goncalo Marques 1563
| Dan Added | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goncalo Marques (rating 1503 vs 1563).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.9 | 12.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 53% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.