Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 15/08, 10:30

Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Philip Henning

Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Philip Henning

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Tristan McCormick Philip Henning
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
Philip Henning 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1531 · Philip Henning 1514
Tristan McCormickPhilip Henning
Our model52%48%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tristan McCormickPhilip Henning
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.8-11.610.7-9.2
Aces3.65.1
Double faults2.71.8
1st serve %74%67.4%
Break %52.2%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tristan McCormick

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Tiago Pereira
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 15-14 W
13/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 16-14 W
12/08 Benjamin Pietri
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 11-16 L
23/07 William Mroz Mroz
M25 Champaign
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Kyle Mcnally
M25 Champaign
2-1 17-14 W
19/07 Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester
1-2 9-15 L
18/07 Jerrid Gaines Jr
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-7 W

Philip Henning

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-3 W
13/08 Tiago Cacao
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Bernardo Munk Mesa
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-6 W
04/08 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Martin Krumich
Challenger Liberec · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
24/07 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Jerome Kym
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
21/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Philip Henning?

Our model gives 66% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.