Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 14/08, 12:00
Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Goncalo Marques
Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Bertrand
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand
8-2 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1520 · Goncalo Marques 1558
| Robin Bertrand | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Robin Bertrand | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.8 | 12.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 56% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Bertrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Tiago Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Alexander Bravo M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Matt Ponchet M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 56% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.