Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 14/08, 11:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Philip Henning
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
10-0 (W-L)
Philip Henning
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1642 · Philip Henning 1492
| Pavel Lagutin | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1642 vs 1492).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-5 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 57% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.