Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 14/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
6-4 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1525 · Tiago Pereira 1567
| Tristan McCormick | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1525 vs 1567).
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.8 | 13.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 80.5% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/07 | William Mroz Mroz M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Kyle Mcnally M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Michael Antonius M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Sulaiman Syed M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 69% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.