Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 14/08, 11:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Pablo Perez Navarro
Team pages: Dan Added · Pablo Perez Navarro
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Pablo Perez Navarro
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
7-3 (W-L)
Pablo Perez Navarro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1489 · Pablo Perez Navarro 1532
| Dan Added | Pablo Perez Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Perez Navarro (rating 1489 vs 1532).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Pablo Perez Navarro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.2 | 9.8-7.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Pablo Perez Navarro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/08 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Michiel de Krom M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Manuel Belda M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Pablo Perez Navarro?
Our model gives 63% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.