Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 13/08, 09:00
Prediction: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Alberto Barroso Campos · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Barroso Campos
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Barroso Campos
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alberto Barroso Campos
3–0
Tiago Pereira
(3 last)
- 11 Nov2-0 13-8W
- 01 Sept2-0 14-12W
- 09 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Barroso Campos 1473 · Tiago Pereira 1522
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1473 vs 1522).
- Tiago Pereira is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alberto Barroso Campos 3–0 Tiago Pereira (3).
- Note: Alberto Barroso Campos makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.7 | 12.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 80.6% |
| Break % | 63.9% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Alberto Barroso Campos 3 – 0 Tiago Pereira (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alberto Barroso Campos 3–0 Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/25 M25 Vale do Lobo | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09/23 M25 Idanha-A-Nova | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/08/23 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Barroso Campos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Barroso Campos vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 66% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.