Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 13/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Philip Henning
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
4-6 (W-L)
Philip Henning
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1568 · Philip Henning 1475
| Tiago Cacao | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Cacao (rating 1568 vs 1475).
- Tiago Cacao is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.3 | 9.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 61.5% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 60% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.