Tennis · W15 Astana · 13/08, 09:30
Prediction: Nina Sozaonova vs Haruna Arakawa
Team pages: Nina Sozaonova · Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Nina Sozaonova
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nina Sozaonova
5-5 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nina Sozaonova 1497 · Haruna Arakawa 1471
| Nina Sozaonova | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nina Sozaonova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Nina Sozaonova | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.2 | 9.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nina Sozaonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/08 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Hee Rae Im W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Anjali Rathi W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Aishwarya Jadhav W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Karine Sarkisova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Elizaveta Gurianova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-6 | W |
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Katherine Sebov ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nina Sozaonova vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 61% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.