Tennis · W15 Astana · 14/08, 08:00
Prediction: Zeel Desai vs Haruna Arakawa
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Zeel Desai
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Zeel Desai
7-3 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zeel Desai
0–1
Haruna Arakawa
(1 last)
- 19 Jul1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zeel Desai 1530 · Haruna Arakawa 1483
| Zeel Desai | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zeel Desai (rating 1530 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Zeel Desai 0–1 Haruna Arakawa (1).
- Note: Zeel Desai makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Zeel Desai | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.5 | 10.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 54% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Zeel Desai 0 – 1 Haruna Arakawa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zeel Desai 0–1 Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/25 W15 Nakhon Pathom | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zeel Desai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Leonie Rabl W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Akanksha Dileep Nitture W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Haruna Arakawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zeel Desai vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 51% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.