Tennis · W15 Astana · 15/08, 08:00

Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Ha Eum Lee

Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Ha Eum Lee

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Haruna Arakawa Ha Eum Lee
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWLWWW
Ha Eum Lee 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1512 · Ha Eum Lee 1495
Haruna ArakawaHa Eum Lee
Our model52%48%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ha Eum Lee makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Haruna ArakawaHa Eum Lee
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.3-1010.2-10.3
Aces01.2
Double faults2.74.2
1st serve %60.1%60.5%
Break %44.6%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haruna Arakawa

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-5 W
12/08 Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W
06/08 Anna Bazderova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W15 Astana
1-2 15-16 L
19/07 Junri Namigata
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-1 12-12 W
18/07 Kyoka Kubo
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Azuna Ichioka
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
24/06 Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
W15 Sapporo
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Sapporo
0-2 7-12 L

Ha Eum Lee

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Akanksha Dileep Nitture
W15 Astana
2-1 13-11 W
12/08 Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Arina Arifullina
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Maria Mikhailova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
1-2 11-16 L
29/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Seo Yun Choi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
15/07 Alisa Ziatdinova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 JiaYi Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/07 Shiyu Ye
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Ha Eum Lee?

Our model gives 51% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.