Tennis · W15 Astana · 16/08, 10:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
6-4 (W-L)
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1539 · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1616
| Haruna Arakawa | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1539 vs 1616).
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.3 | 12.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova?
Our model gives 62% to Asylzhan Arystanbekova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.