Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 13/08, 11:00
Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo Marques
Team pages: Andrea Colombo · Goncalo Marques
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Colombo
Goncalo Marques
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo
8-2 (W-L)
Goncalo Marques
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1520 · Goncalo Marques 1557
| Andrea Colombo | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea Colombo | Goncalo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10 | 11.6-8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Francisco Faria M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Pedro Liborio M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Yago Castellanos M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Noah Regas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model gives 58% to Goncalo Marques, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.