Tennis · W15 Astana · 13/08, 07:00
Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova
Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Ekaterina Kuznetsova
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Arifullina
Ekaterina Kuznetsova
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina
8-2 (W-L)
Ekaterina Kuznetsova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1581 · Ekaterina Kuznetsova 1488
| Arina Arifullina | Ekaterina Kuznetsova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1581 vs 1488).
- Arina Arifullina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Kuznetsova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Arina Arifullina | Ekaterina Kuznetsova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-5.9 | 9.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Satima Toregen W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Donnell W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ekaterina Kuznetsova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Harshini N Nagaraj W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yana Kim W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Polina Sleptsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Justine Bretnacher W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova?
Our model gives 71% to Arina Arifullina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.