Tennis · Challenger Todi · 13/08, 15:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
3-7 (W-L)
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1508 · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1490
| Alex Barrena | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.6 | 10.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Our model gives 58% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.